Stats and Numbers


If you're new here, you may want to subscribe to my RSS feed. Thanks for visiting!

Northwest Glendale Real Estate Hot Sheet

Click here for chart explanation and disclaimer

Today’s report is easy-peasy!  1061 Newby is located below Glenoaks Blvd.  I really have no comment on this one (shocking, I know)

Did you have fun in yesterdays little shaker?  You know, until the Northridge Quake, I had always regarded earthquakes as a roller coaster ride.  Remember the scene in LA Story where and earthquake happens while they are at a restaurant?  Stuff is crashing, and plates are falling off the table and the conversation doesn’t stop or even note the quake.  When it is over they all gave the quake a score, “I give that a 6.2″, or “No, I think that was a 5.8″.  It was like they were at a swim meet or something!

Here’s some great resources for disaster preparedness ,

  1. Los Angeles Fire Department EQ Book.  A very complete guide to preparing before a quake and surviving after one.
  2. Glendale Fire Department Emergency Preparedness.  This is Glendale’s plan for emergencies.
  3. The Disaster Center’s Guide


Tags: , ,

I’ve been on such a rant lately that I’ve neglected the business at hand - so let’s do the numbers!

Northwest Glendale Real Estate Hot Sheet

Click here for chart explanation and disclaimer

1645 Cleveland is that one story on the corner of Cleveland and Cumberland. I know that the price looks ridiculously low - this is one of those short sale “fantasy” prices. It is a fantasy because the bank will never accept that price. The agent is trying to create a multiple offer situation and pressure the bank into accepting something and approve the short sale. I can’t fault the listing agent, really, they are doing their job. However, I can caution any would be buyers - don’t buy into the fantasy!!! You will ruin your chances of recognizing a legitimate, obtainable deal when you actually see one!!

217 Cumberland - leasing was the best thing they could have done. Really.

******

Ok, brag time! I am proud to introduce my latest listing, 1031 Marion Dr.

Click Here for a slide show!

This character Spanish is in the “hip and cool” Adams Hill area, close to the Adams Square with mini park and hi-tech Library. It has 4 bedrooms and 2 baths, den, workshop and huge laundry room. Outdoor spaces include an intimate entry patio, spa patio and 2 level backyard. The remodeled home enjoys copper plumbing, new 50 year roof, seamless gutters, sub-zero refrigerator and updated electrical panel. With over 2000sf of physical living space, this is a ***DEAL ALERT*** at $649,000.

I am holding this awesome home open for broker’s caravan tomorrow, 10AM- 2PM (non brokers are certainly welcome!) and for the public Sunday, August 3, 2PM- 5PM. Come on by!!!!


Tags: , , , ,

You’ve heard me rant about the mass media coverage of the housing market before. Today I wanted to give a (hopefully brief) lesson on how to read the newspaper. If I am successful, you too can start reading between the salacious and incendiary lines.

The article up for examination is is the latest article in the Glendale News Press about the housing market, titled “Local Foreclosures Soaring” , presumably in Glendale. If you click on the link you’ll get the story in a new window, read it along with this post.

1. Emotionally Charged Words and Phrases

First, I want you to notice the liberal use of emotionally charged words and phrases. Examples in this article are, “Home prices in Glendale and Burbank plummeted”, “foreclosures soared”, “housing troubles plague Burbank”, and, “The plunging numbers”. More neutral words, yet still accurate, are “home prices fell or declined”, “Foreclosures rose or increased”, “the falling or declining numbers”.

Let’s be honest. There is bad news. Some people are definitely getting hurt, but the sky is not falling!

2. Astronomically High Numbers

In this article watch for are astronomically high percentages. The author often cites foreclosure rates rising 418%, 127% and even 800%, and it certainly sounds like the sky is falling. The percentages are right , but it is really one foreclosure in 2007 and three or four the next year. The real story is the ratio of foreclosures to the number of home in the area or how many foreclosures here vs the number of foreclosed homes in another similarly sized area. These astronomical numbers do nothing to inform you, they only scare you.

3. Quoting experts out of context

Quoting experts out of context or changing the context is another big sin. The author quotes two knowledgeable people in this article. One is a Burbank Realtor and the other a homeowners association president. Both are quoted accurately (I checked), but the context is all wrong. Before and after the quotes the author makes a dire statement and than goes to a quote that, if read correctly, actually contradicts the statement. At one point the author says “Foreclosures shot up 800%” and then proceeds to quote Judy Graff, who says, among other things, ““If you look at actual numbers, there really aren’t necessarily as many foreclosures as you might think.” He then follows her quotes with the statement, “lenders started foreclosure proceedings on a record number of California homeowners”. By bookending Judy with two very negative statements he makes her whole statement look grim. (She is actually quite realistic and hopeful)

4. Switching Locations Without Notice

Lastly, I note that this author switches from reporting local conditions to regional and state conditions with no notice. Comments on future foreclosure proceedings relate to the entire state and the quoted economist is talking about Los Angeles County. In fact, the sub-headline is, “Experts say area’s worsening housing market has tipped the economy more toward a recession.” This is a quote from the economist talking about Los Angeles County! And the reader still thinks we are talking about Glendale and Burbank.

I learned in college that the mass media has to pander to the audience and the audience wants bad news. And, as much as I idealize journalism as a place for fair and balanced reporting, neutral language and a straight recitation of the facts is boring. However, we, as an informed public, must learn critical reading skills. Accept that the media is looking for the most salable angle in every story. The media is not there to inform or enlighten - they are there to survive.

Continue to read, it is your gateway to knowledge, but never forget to ask questions.


Tags: , , , , ,

Northwest Glendale Real Estate Hot Sheet

Click here for chart explanation and disclaimer

1434 Lee - It’s baaaack! It is now with the third Realtor, and they say the third time is the charm. My mother, a top Realtor in this town, used to say, “I want to be the first born, the second wife and the third Realtor!”. Ain’t my momma a hoot?

1518 Columbus - what a great house that was. I thought the market might not bear a home in the price range, and I was delightfully wrong-o!!!! Gorgeous home, gorgeous lot, gorgeous location equals sold to a happy buyer. Congrats all the way around.

***********

By now you know that I am not impressed with the LA Times coverage of the current housing market. To be fair, they must cover the region as a whole and the numbers for the entire region may be as dire as they report. However, I am only interested in our hyper local location so I thought I would continue to give our local numbers.

Here are the Top Five Facts about our market in Northwest Glendale, single family homes.

1. The number of listings taken is down.

(This is good! Less inventory is the road to a stronger market)

    a. Q1 ‘07 vs Q1 ‘08 down by 4%,
    b. Q2 ‘07 vs Q2 ‘08 is down by 25%

2. The number of listings sold is down

( This is bad, but it is balanced by fewer listings coming on the market)

    a. Q1 ‘07 vs ‘08 is down by 35%
    b. Q2 ‘07 vs ‘08 is down by 17%

3. A lower percentage of listings taken are selling

(This is bad, but overall the inventory is going down)

    a. 43% of listings taken sold in ‘07
    b. 38% of listings taken sold in ‘08

4. The Median price of homes dropped 10%

(Not 27% or 43% or any other hair-brained number that the media crows about)

    a. JA-JN ‘07 the median was $802k vs $718k in ‘08

5. It’s a big problem to be on the market a long time

    a. If a house sells in less than 30 days the sales price is about 1% lower than list (30% of homes sold within 30 days)
    b. If it takes 120 days or more, the price difference is 14% - and that is off of the current list price, not the original!

***edit*** I just read the article in the Glendale News Press. I’ll comment on this tomorrow. For now, I just ask you to read it carefully. There are a lot of emotion packed words and phrases, but the do the numbers and quotes really support the claims?


Tags: , , ,

Northwest Glendale Real Estate Hot Sheet

Click here for chart explanation and disclaimer

Wordpress is so cranky today that I’ll have to keep this short and sweet.

1120 Alameda is an REO listing and has a unit over the garage. Agent states that permit status is unknown. This almost always means the agent is pretty darn sure the unit is NOT permitted!

105 Kenneth is that incredibly cool Mid Century home right at the intersection of Brand and Kenneth Rd. This is a probate sale without court confirmation. This is the type of probate most like a normal sale. I’ve been drooling over house for years. Can’t wait to see the inside and report back to you guys.

Over the weekend 1428 Virginia was reported closed. Remember this house? Lovely, lovely home on a huge lot. 2653 sf for the house, 12,873 for the lot. It closed for $945,000, $4,000 less than asking, after 18 days on the market. The interior was a bit dated, but I still think the buyer got a great house for less than $360/sf.

**************

Did anyone catch the News-Press article about the proposed redevelopment of the Albertsons?  Here’s a link to the story, in case you missed it.  The article tells us that the owners plan 105 residential units (sounds like they will be for lease) and 13,000 sf of commercial.  What do you think of the proposal?  If Albertson’s leaves the area, Jon’s will be the only game in Northwest Glendale.  Will you do all your shopping there or will you travel down the road to the big Ralph’s?


Tags: , , , , ,

« Previous PageNext Page »